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Julie Rehmeyer's avatar

In Santa Fe and Los Alamos, what I can’t get my head around is how we balance the need for housing with the water limitations. Do you have thoughts on that?

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Andie's avatar

I missed last week's discussion as life has gotten in the way but I am so happy to be finishing this book out with you!

Chuck Marohn was in KC last week and I went to his talk. There were so many Strong Towns-ish ideas in this final chapter, and a big one is the tension between housing-as-shelter and housing-as-financial-instrument. Chuck spent a good amount of his talk on this, and Applebaum mentions it as well. This could be (and I'm sure is) its own book-length topic. I don't know how we make that transition given how many boomers are relying on their home values as their nest egg for retirement, which many are at or reaching in the next 5-10 years. As much as I love the idea of returning to a world where housing is a consumer good, it does strike me that people my age (Millennial) have already lost out on the investment vehicle of pensions enjoyed by prior generations, plus our social security won't be fully funded, and now we aren't to have real estate as an option either? The housing theory of everything strikes again - it'll be a complex needle to thread so that people do in fact end up better off if/when we build so much that the cost of housing falls significantly.

There was a lot in this chapter that ties in with ideas in the zeitgeist (hello, abundance) and also personal things my husband and I have been weighing as we have been looking at houses this month (and also considering whether we wouldn't prefer building a small ADU on our current lot instead). I think I'll save some of those thoughts for your wrap up.

But just one other thing that Applebaum lightly touches on in this chapter that has interested me throughout the book. He considers whether the generations of mobility were the exception and that our current stasis is a permanent return to a way of life where people, for the most part, stay near where they were born. I think this may be the case, because of how different our economic situation is compared with the economies of the late 1800s, mid-century, and late-20th century. For one thing, healthcare is an enormous part of our economy. It's like, that and the AI speculation propping us up right now. Healthcare jobs are decent, but they're not super dynamic. And they're scattered throughout the country. Someone wanting to become a doctor or nurse may need to move to their next biggest town over, but they don't need to switch states or in many cases even the county they live in. As for the other jobs Applebaum mentions that are still a draw to the big cities - they're in tech, financing, law, and consulting. These aren't jobs that you can show up and do if you have some basic skills and a solid work ethic, like the factory jobs in Flint, or the farmstead life from an earlier generation. These are jobs moated by years of very expensive education. I just keep coming back to the idea that it's really economic mobility that matters here, and that in the future it's probably still the jobs at the very top of the food chain that will require people to move to certain giant cities, but that for the rest of us it's about finding abundance where we are already.

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